Basic Probability
Favourable outcomes over total equally likely outcomes.
Key idea
Favourable outcomes over total equally likely outcomes.
In depth
For equally likely outcomes, P(E) = (favourable outcomes)/(total outcomes). Probabilities are between 0 and 1, and the probabilities over the entire sample space sum to 1.
Worked example
P(rolling an even number) = 3/6 = 1/2.
Formula
Real-world uses
- Estimating the chance of rain, winning a raffle or drawing a red card
Common mistake
Applying the formula when outcomes are not equally likely.
How to learn this
- Read the key idea and say it in your own words.
- Work through the worked example, then try a similar problem.
- Use the interactive lesson’s visual and mini-quiz to check the pattern.
Frequently asked questions
What is Basic Probability?
Favourable outcomes over total equally likely outcomes. It is a topic at the intermediate level in Probability & Statistics.
What is the formula for Basic Probability?
The key formula is P(A) = n(A)/n(S).
Where is Basic Probability used in real life?
Real-world examples: Estimating the chance of rain, winning a raffle or drawing a red card.
What should I learn before Basic Probability?
Make sure you are comfortable with Sample Space and Events, the previous topic in Probability & Statistics.
What is a common mistake with Basic Probability?
Applying the formula when outcomes are not equally likely.
How can I practise Basic Probability?
Open the interactive lesson, play with the visual, then answer the three-question mini-quiz. Getting two right marks the topic complete.
What comes after Basic Probability?
Move on to Probability Scale next.
Related intermediate topics in Probability & Statistics
- Collecting Data and Sampling – Surveys, experiments and random sampling.
- Bias in Sampling – Systematic errors that make samples unrepresentative.
- Histograms – Bars showing frequency of numerical intervals.
- Dot Plots and Stem-and-Leaf Plots – Show the shape of small datasets.
- Mean – The arithmetic average.
- Median – The middle value of an ordered list.